Alphabit Lab · rules-based Bitcoin strategy

Know when to accumulate Bitcoin. And when to protect it.

A transparent, rules-based framework for accumulating Bitcoin — and stepping back when risk runs hot. It reads the market into one weekly signal, follows a published rulebook, and shows its work. Free to start.

Updated weekly · all Pro features free through Sep 30, 2026
A recent Bitcoin risk reading
2.2/ 10Undervalued
AccumulateProtect
🔒 Sign in for today's live score (showing Mar 31, 2026, 4 months ago)
The idea

Most people buy blindly. Or panic at the top.

Bitcoin doesn't come with a rulebook. So investors either buy the same amount forever, or let emotion decide. We wrote the rulebook down: a transparent model that reads where risk actually is every week, and a strategy that acts on it the same way, every time.

2.2
0 · Accumulate5 · Hold10 · Protect
How it fits together

One strategy. Everything else exists to power it.

The strategy makes the call. The risk model is the engine underneath it. The market-intelligence labs are the raw signals that feed it. Three layers, one job.

The engine · Risk Model

One score. Every signal that matters.

The model blends four families of data into a single reading you can act on in seconds, without needing to watch any of them yourself.

On-chainValuation & price extensionMomentum & sentimentMacro & liquidity

How each factor is weighted is proprietary. The output is deliberately simple.

See this week's signal →
Extremely Undervalued
Undervalued
Neutral
Risky
Extremely Risky
AccumulateProtect
Bitcoin is at 2.2 · Undervalued as of Mar 31, 2026 (delayed preview).
Standard DCAAnchor AccumulateAnchor Bridge
The strategy · Anchor models

Same market. Three very different outcomes.

We ran three long-term Bitcoin strategies across a full cycle: plain weekly buying, risk-aware allocation, and a strategy that steps toward the S&P 500 when risk runs high.

+874.6%
Anchor Bridge, after tax & fees
$847,872
From $87,000 deployed
Explore the full backtest →

In-sample and illustrative, not a guarantee. Proprietary triggers stay private.

The inputs · Market Intelligence

The whole market, made readable.

Three interactive labs turn dozens of raw datasets into signals a human can actually scan. Plain language up front, with the depth underneath if you want it.

Why trust it

Honest about what a model can do, and what it can't.

We show our work and we don't oversell it. The methodology is published, the backtests are labelled illustrative, and we've frozen the model to build a public, forward-looking track record — every weekly signal timestamped from here on.

10+
Years backtested
4
Signal families blended
Weekly
Fresh reading, every week
2026
Forward tracking since Jul

Start with the rules, not the noise.

See how the strategy reads this week's market, explore the full backtest, or create a free account. All Pro features are free through Sep 30, 2026.

Not financial advice. Alphabit publishes risk models and research tools, not personalized recommendations. Backtests are in-sample and illustrative; past performance does not predict future results. See the full disclosure.