Alphabit Lab · Strategy Study

Three Bitcoin strategies.
One market.
Three very different outcomes.

What happens when the same Bitcoin market is approached three different ways — standard DCA, risk-weighted allocation, and capital rotation? Follow the money, week by week, and watch the gap open up.

Standard DCAAnchor AccumulateAnchor Bridge
Meet the three

Same goal. Three ways to get there.

Every investor here is building a long-term Bitcoin position on the same weekly schedule. What changes is the rule they follow — and, for the risk-based two, how much that rule asks them to put in each week.

The benchmark
01

Standard DCA

Buy the same amount of Bitcoin every week — rain or shine.

Best forAnyone who wants one decision, made once, and never revisited.
PhilosophyConsistency beats timing. Show up every week and let time do the work.
$44,600
Invested
+302.7%
Total return
$179,602
Final value
Model it free →
Risk-based buy & holdPro
02

Anchor Accumulate

Never sells. Buys harder when the model reads risk as low.

Best forLong-term holders who never want to sell, but would rather not buy the same amount at $16k and $69k.
PhilosophyThe decision isn't when to get out — it's how much to put in this week. Same holding discipline, better-placed capital.
$87,000
Invested
+585.3%
Total return
$596,238
Final value
Unlock with Pro →
ActivePro
03

Anchor Bridge

Leans into Bitcoin, and steps toward the S&P 500 when risk runs high.

Best forInvestors willing to trade and file the paperwork in exchange for a shallower ride down.
PhilosophyGrow with Bitcoin, but don't ride every storm fully exposed — keep capital working elsewhere until things settle.
$87,000
Invested
+874.6%
Total return
$847,872
Final value
Unlock with Pro →

ProAnchor Accumulate and Anchor Bridge are part of Alphabit Pro.See plans →

How each behaves

The difference is when and how they invest.

Standard DCA

The same buy, every single week. Predictable and calm — it never reacts to the market.

Anchor Accumulate

Still buying every week, but leaning in harder when the market looks calm and easing off when it heats up.

Anchor Bridge

Grows with Bitcoin, then quietly steps some capital toward the S&P 500 when risk runs high — and steps back when things settle.

Watch them invest Jan 2018
Heated
7.2 / 10 market risk
Standard DCA$0
Anchor Accumulate$0
Anchor Bridge$0

2018 — everyone starts together. Same market, same weekly cadence, three portfolios sitting at zero.

The quiet years. With the market calm, the risk-based strategies buy harder — and so put more money to work.

The market heats up. Prices run hot. Anchor Accumulate stops buying; Anchor Bridge starts trimming.

The bear market. Everything falls. The question is who kept more of their gains through it.

Recovery, and a second climb. The gap between the three strategies widens for good.

Today. Three different jobs, three different outcomes — scroll on for the numbers, and for what they don't tell you.

The results

Same market. Here's where they landed.

Starting 2018, weekly cadence, 15%/24% capital-gains tax and 25bps per trade already deducted. The three strategies did not deploy the same amount of money — read the capital line on each card before the return. These figures are in-sample and illustrative: a demonstration of how each approach behaves, not a promise about the future.

Simplest
Standard DCA
$0
Portfolio value today
$44,600 deployed · 2.79 BTC held
$159,173 after tax if sold today
0%Total return
0%Per year (CAGR)
-73%Worst drop
0.51Risk-adjusted
Never sells
Anchor AccumulatePro
$0
Portfolio value today
$87,000 deployed · 9.25 BTC held
$519,702 after tax if sold today
0%Total return
0%Per year (CAGR)
-71%Worst drop
0.67Risk-adjusted
Unlock with Pro →
Shallowest drawdown
Anchor BridgePro
$0
Portfolio value today
$87,000 deployed · 5.32 BTC held
$811,289 after tax if sold today
0%Total return
0%Per year (CAGR)
-53%Worst drop
1.01Risk-adjusted
Unlock with Pro →
Which one fits you

There's no single right answer.

Each approach suits a different kind of investor. The best one is the one you'll actually stick with.

The benchmark

Standard DCA

The first-timer·Low effort
What you get
  • Dead simple to run
  • No decisions to make
  • A proven, popular baseline
Trade-offs
  • Rides every downturn fully exposed
  • Leaves some upside on the table
Risk-based buy & holdPro

Anchor Accumulate

The patient builder·Medium effort
What you get
  • Buys hardest when risk is low
  • Always invested in Bitcoin
  • Never sells — no tax events
Trade-offs
  • Still fully exposed in downturns
  • Asks for more cash in low-risk stretches
  • Buys less during a sustained rally
ActivePro

Anchor Bridge

The risk-aware optimizer·Higher effort
What you get
  • Strongest returns in this study
  • Softer worst-case drops
  • Capital keeps working in rough patches
Trade-offs
  • More active and hands-on
  • Selling can create taxable events

See the rules for yourself.

See how the model reads this week's market, or model any of these strategies with your own numbers. The methodology is published — every rule is one you can check.

In-sample backtest, illustrative — not financial advice and not a guarantee. Anchor Accumulate and Anchor Bridge use risk-model logic refined on this same history, so results should be read as a demonstration of each strategy's behavior, not evidence of future performance. Past performance does not predict future results. See the full disclosure and methodology limitations.