Track Record

Every call the Anchor models have made — on the record.

A transparent, rules-based record of what the Anchor Accumulate and Anchor Bridge models output each week, applied to hypothetical reference portfolios starting in December 2021. History before Jul 23, 2026 is an in-sample backtest; later entries are published model outputs. These portfolios use different contribution amounts.

Since 256 weeksEdition verifiedPublished to the public ledger

Latest settled week: . Ledger checked: . The current weekly bucket is excluded until it settles. Updates are checked daily.

This is corrected edition 7, issued Oct 27, 2026. We replayed the originally published price, score, and output observations to repair the Anchor portfolios from Aug 30, 2026. The original signal chain has broken links; its rows remain available in the original export. “Verified” here means this edition's hashes and portfolio cashflows reconcile internally. It does not verify the original publication time or provide independent timestamping.

Reference portfolio values and contributions

Standard DCA contributes $100 each week. Anchor uses that as a base unit, contributing 0, 5, 10 or 15 times as much according to risk. Values below are before fees and taxes.

$193,316
Anchor Bridge
Risk-adjusted + S&P bridge

$54,000 contributed

$158,099
Anchor Accumulate
Risk-based sizing

$54,000 contributed

$47,905
Standard DCA
Flat weekly buying

$25,500 contributed

Portfolio size reflects both investment performance and money contributed. Lump-sum reference: $10,000 invested at the start → $16,209 at the latest settled week.

Reference portfolios, week by week

Published reference portfolios with different contribution amounts, on a log scale. The dashed line shows Standard DCA contributions only. Read each strategy's contribution total above.

$100$1k$10k$100kbacktest ‹› live
Anchor BridgeAnchor AccumulateStandard DCAStandard DCA contributions

What the risk-based sizing did

Anchor Accumulate deployed more in the calm zones and eased off when risk ran hot — reaching $158,099 vs Standard DCA's $47,905. Their contributions were $54,000 and $25,500, respectively. The portfolio-value gap alone does not measure strategy outperformance.

What the S&P bridge added

Anchor Bridge trimmed into the S&P 500 when risk was elevated and stepped back on drawdowns. Versus the same buys held straight through, that's +$35,217 before fees and taxes.

Most recent model output

The latest weekly readings, exactly as the published rules produced them.

Signal weekModelBTC price that weekPrior-week riskOutputProvenance
Anchor Accumulate$80,0244.5 · neutral
from Oct 18, 2026 ($82,018 BTC)		holdlive
Anchor Accumulate$82,0184.8 · neutral
from Oct 11, 2026 ($83,679 BTC)		holdlive
Anchor Accumulate$83,6795.1 · neutral
from Oct 4, 2026 ($86,480 BTC)		holdlive
Anchor Accumulate$86,4804.9 · neutral
from Sep 27, 2026 ($84,458 BTC)		holdlive
Anchor Accumulate$84,4584.7 · neutral
from Sep 20, 2026 ($81,143 BTC)		holdlive
Anchor Accumulate$81,1434.3 · neutral
from Sep 13, 2026 ($76,838 BTC)		holdlive
Anchor Accumulate$76,8384.9 · neutral
from Sep 6, 2026 ($80,350 BTC)		holdlive
Anchor Accumulate$80,3504.6 · neutral
from Aug 30, 2026 ($77,830 BTC)		holdlive

How to inspect this record

Mechanical, not discretionary

Every row is computed from the published rules by a scheduled job. Nobody — including us — edits a number by hand.

Append-only & hash-chained

Each record includes the previous record's hash. Verification checks consistency within the downloaded chain. Compare it with an independently saved earlier copy to detect a rewritten chain.

The declared backtest / live boundary

History before go-live is labelled backtest; later settled entries are labelled live. The go-live date is stored separately and is not covered by the signal hashes.

methodology hash1a5f8942cc3dab7225c38412e66773bd4ab1f0b7ef7b943ba53de678145735c5

Check it yourself

  1. Download the full record as or JSON — every weekly signal with its record_hash.
  2. Order the rows by seq. For each, recompute record_hash = sha256(canonicalJSON(payload) + "|" + prev_hash), where payload is the signal without seq/prev_hash/record_hash/provenance and keys are sorted.
  3. Check the final hash against a previously saved copy. A chain can be recomputed after an edit; an independent earlier copy is what makes that change detectable.

Independent timestamping is not connected yet. The download lets you check internal consistency; see the verification status above. Publication timing still relies on our server. Save a copy to compare with future releases.

Alphabit publishes the outputs of transparent, rules-based models applied to hypothetical reference portfolios, for research and education. This is not personalized investment advice, not a recommendation, and not a prediction of future results. Results shown are illustrative; past performance does not predict future results. See the full disclosure.