Track Record

Every call the Anchor models have made — on the record.

A transparent, rules-based record of what the Anchor Accumulate and Anchor Bridge models output each week, applied mechanically to hypothetical reference portfolios starting near the December 2021 cycle top — the hardest possible entry. No hand-picking, no hindsight: the same published rules, every week.

Since Dec 5, 2021243 weeksHash-chainedPublished to the public ledger

Bought the top. Survived — and kept building.

$100/week into Bitcoin since Dec 5, 2021, by each strategy's published rules. Same market, same cadence — three different rulebooks.

$169,913
Anchor Bridge
Risk-adjusted + S&P bridge
$127,131
Anchor Accumulate
Risk-based sizing
$38,000
Standard DCA
Flat weekly buying
From $24,200 invested over 243 weeks. Lump-sum reference: $10,000 bought outright at the top → $13,235 buy-and-hold today.

Reference portfolios, week by week

Each rulebook applied to the same $100/week, on a log scale. The dashed line is total cash contributed.

$100$1k$10k$100kbacktest ‹› live
Anchor BridgeAnchor AccumulateStandard DCAContributed

What the risk-based sizing did

Anchor Accumulate deployed more in the calm zones and eased off when risk ran hot — reaching $127,131 vs Standard DCA's $38,000 on the same weekly schedule.

What the S&P bridge added

Anchor Bridge trimmed into the S&P 500 when risk was elevated and stepped back on drawdowns. Versus the same buys held straight through, that's +$42,782 of attribution — honest, not cherry-picked.

Most recent model output

The latest weekly readings, exactly as the published rules produced them.

WeekModelBTC priceRiskOutputProvenance
Jul 26, 2026Anchor Bridge$65,3402.7 · undervaluedaccumulatelive
Jul 26, 2026Anchor Accumulate$65,3402.7 · undervaluedaccumulatelive
Jul 19, 2026Anchor Bridge$64,6912.4 · undervaluedaccumulatebacktest
Jul 19, 2026Anchor Accumulate$64,6912.4 · undervaluedaccumulatebacktest
Jul 12, 2026Anchor Bridge$63,7582.3 · undervaluedaccumulatebacktest
Jul 12, 2026Anchor Accumulate$63,7582.3 · undervaluedaccumulatebacktest
Jul 5, 2026Anchor Bridge$63,5481.7 · undervaluedaccumulatebacktest
Jul 5, 2026Anchor Accumulate$63,5481.7 · undervaluedaccumulatebacktest

Why you don't have to take our word for it

Mechanical, not discretionary

Every row is computed from the published rules by a scheduled job. Nobody — including us — edits a number by hand.

Append-only & hash-chained

Each record commits to the one before it with a SHA-256 chain. Alter any past entry and every later hash breaks — a silent edit is detectable, not possible.

A permanent backtest / live line

History before go-live is labelled backtest; everything after is published in real time as live. The boundary never moves.

methodology hash1a5f8942cc3dab7225c38412e66773bd4ab1f0b7ef7b943ba53de678145735c5

Check it yourself

  1. Download the full record as or JSON — every weekly signal with its record_hash.
  2. Order the rows by seq. For each, recompute record_hash = sha256(canonicalJSON(payload) + "|" + prev_hash), where payload is the signal without seq/prev_hash/record_hash/provenance and keys are sorted.
  3. If any past row were altered, its hash — and every hash after it — would no longer match. A silent edit is detectable, not possible.

A public, timestamped mirror of the ledger (git-committed daily, later anchored to Bitcoin via OpenTimestamps) is being wired up — so the record's history won't rely on trusting our server.

Alphabit publishes the outputs of transparent, rules-based models applied to hypothetical reference portfolios, for research and education. This is not personalized investment advice, not a recommendation, and not a prediction of future results. Results shown are illustrative; past performance does not predict future results. See the full disclosure.