Cycle Comparison
Where is this cycle, relative to the last two?
Each line starts at that cycle's real bear-market bottom (day 0) and tracks Bitcoin's price as a multiple of that bottom, on a log scale, so cycles of very different price magnitudes overlay cleanly. The current cycle is plotted only up to today — no projected or synthetic data.
Y-axis: ROI from bottom, % (log scale) · Drag to zoom · Double-click to reset
Cycle bottoms
2014–2018
Bottomed Jan 18, 2015 at $210
2018–2022
Bottomed Dec 16, 2018 at $3.3K
2022–presentIn progress
Bottomed Nov 20, 2022 at $16.3K
Methodology & limitations
- Bottoms are the lowest weekly close inside each cycle's known bear-market window, not a round year.
- Prices are weekly closes from the same BTC history that powers the risk model and DCA calculator.
- Past cycles are not a guarantee the current one repeats their shape, length, or magnitude.
Not financial advice. See the disclosure. Full guide to Bitcoin market cycles →